外包趋势不可逆 奥巴马的政治限制影响甚微

自从奥巴马接任美国总统以来，严重依赖美国的印度外包产业一度感到胆战心惊：首先，奥巴马大幅减少了允许外国工人在美国本土就业的H-1b工作签证；接着奥巴马又在2月24日的国会讲话中宣布“终止美国公司外包业务的减税优惠”。     

Estimation of the mean of the selected gamma population

Let л₁ and л₂ denote two independent gamma populations G(α₁, p) and G(α₂, p) respectively. Assume α(i=1,2)are unknown and the common shape parameter p is a known positive integer. Let Y_i denote the sample mean based on a random sample of size n from the i-th population. For selecting the population with the larger mean, we consider, the natural rule according to which the population corresponding to the larger Y_i is selected. We consider? in this paper, the estimation of M, the mean of the selected population. It is shown that the natural estimator is positively biased. We obtain the uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimator(UMVE) of M. We also consider certain subclasses of estikmators of the form c₁x₍₁₎ +c₁x₍₂₎ and derive admissible estimators in these classes. The minimazity of certain estimators of interest is investigated. Itis shown that p(p+1)^-1x₍₁₎ is minimax and dominates the UMVUE. Also UMVUE is not minimax.     

Social Context of Smoking Hookah Among College Students: Scale Development and Validation

Abstract

Objective: To develop an instrument that measures the social context of hookah use among college students. Participants: A pool of 50 potential items, based on 44 in-depth interviews with regular college hookah smokers, was administered to a sample of 274 hookah users between October and December 2011. Methods: Participants were approached in hookah bars and asked to complete the survey. Results: A principle components analysis revealed 3 reliable factors: social facilitation, family/cultural influence, and alternative to smoking cigarettes and drinking. These were examined across different categories of hookah use: Weekly hookah users were more likely to smoke in a context of social facilitation than the other 2 groups. Similar effects were observed for family/cultural influence. Asians were more likely to smoke in a context of family and cultural influence than non-Asians. Conclusions: This scale has potential for identifying situation-specific contexts of hookah use that may help in designing effective interventions for college students.     

走向"扁平化"的知识型城市

中国即将成为先进的知识经济大国的趋势，也为其他国家带来了发展机遇，、本文所研究的核心问题是，如果以知识经济发展为指导的管理政策作为工具，一个人口大国的发达与欠发达地区之间的不均衡是否能够以及如何能够“扁平化”。我们特别要关注的是正在发展中的知识社会是否能够缩窄知识鸿沟以及由此缩短整体的发展差距，“扁平化世界”的概念就是大家都在同一水平的起跑线上。我们选择以中国为例，是因为她悠久的历史和地缘政治的复杂性对其他发展中国家具有借鉴意义。不少学者们认为，是邓小平的改革开放政策改变了中国的落后面貌，但笔者却持相反观点，认为中国的兴衰成败，并不单纯地取决于国界的开放与否，而是取决于整个社会是否存在积极的学习态度以及可供借鉴学习的参照体．     

Subsidiary power,cultural intelligence and interpersonal knowledge transfer between subsidiaries within the multinational enterprise

We propose that individual-level knowledge transfer between subsidiaries within a multinational enterprise depends on the perceived relative power of the subsidiary and the cultural intelligence of individuals. Using a sample of 333 research and development (R&D) subsidiary employees of foreign Multinational Enterprises (MNEs) in India, we find that the perceived subsidiary power has a direct positive significant effect on knowledge sharing, and an indirect significant effect, through organizational identification, on knowledge seeking. Further, cultural intelligence moderates the effect of organizational identification on knowledge seeking, and the indirect effect of the perceived subsidiary power on it. The findings highlight the role of organizational identification and cultural intelligence in explaining the impact of the perceived subsidiary power on interpersonal knowledge transfer within the MNE.     

An easy method of constructing latin square designs balanced for the immediate residual and other order effects

Bradley (1958) proposed a very simple procedure for constructing latin square designs to counterbalance the immediate sequential effect for an even number of treatments. When the number of treatments is odd, balance in a single latin square is not possible. In the present note we have developed an analogous method for the construction of such designs which may be used for an even or odd number of treatments. A proof has also been offered to assure the general validity of the procedure.     

The Community Readiness Survey. Development and initial validation

This article reports on the development and evaluation of a mail survey measuring population attitudes toward substance use of potential receptivity of communities to different prevention efforts. The Community Readiness Survey was designed through a series of prevention practitioner and consultant meetings and focus groups. Psychometric evaluation revealed five distinct domains: perception of alcohol, tobacco, or other drug problem; support for prevention; permissive attitudes toward teen substance use; perception of adolescent access; and perception of community commitment. Evidence of construct validity was demonstrated by the small but significant relationships between selected scale scores and community readiness as evaluated by prevention planners.     

Bayesian analysis of head and neck cancer data using generalized inverse Lindley stress–strength reliability model

In this article, we present the analysis of head and neck cancer data using generalized inverse Lindley stress–strength reliability model. We propose Bayes estimators for estimating P(X > Y), when X and Y represent survival times of two groups of cancer patients observed under different therapies. The X and Y are assumed to be independent generalized inverse Lindley random variables with common shape parameter. Bayes estimators are obtained under the considerations of symmetric and asymmetric loss functions assuming independent gamma priors. Since posterior becomes complex and does not possess closed form expressions for Bayes estimators, Lindley’s approximation and Markov Chain Monte Carlo techniques are utilized for Bayesian computation. An extensive simulation experiment is carried out to compare the performances of Bayes estimators with the maximum likelihood estimators on the basis of simulated risks. Asymptotic, bootstrap, and Bayesian credible intervals are also computed for the P(X > Y).